Search found 89 matches

by Theodore
Yesterday, 22:27
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

princeofcarthage wrote:
Theodore wrote:@princeofcarthage
a) there are good reasons why trying to "calculate" the best way by weighing lives lost vs lives saved is a futile exercise. because these calculations only pretend to be precise, a lot is just estimates and preferences (go ahead and .....
by Theodore
Yesterday, 22:22
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

chris1089 wrote:@Theodore I shall respond in full after my exams which take place in a fortnight. For the time being, a couple of observations.
Capacity is not fixed. You can build hospitals in days.
The idea that there is agreement among epidemiologists is ludicrous.
Epidemiology should not be the sol .....
by Theodore
Yesterday, 17:49
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

too many words probably.

@princeofcarthage do you have any sound estimate that more people are actually dying from the lockdown than the virus? I haven't seen one. (I am quite sure China wouldn't have gone into lockdown if they'd figured out that they could just sit it out.)

Or is that just a feel fa .....

by Theodore
Yesterday, 17:44
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

@princeofcarthage
a) there are good reasons why trying to "calculate" the best way by weighing lives lost vs lives saved is a futile exercise. because these calculations only pretend to be precise, a lot is just estimates and preferences (go ahead and look up all the variations of the trol .....

by Theodore
28 May 2020, 08:52
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

Another way to evaluate the effects of the Coronavirus is to estimate the years of life lost by those who died instead of looking at the risk of dying for the people who do not have Covid-19.

Of those who died, men lost on average 14 years of their lifetime, women 12 (https://wellcomeopenresearch.or .....

by Theodore
28 May 2020, 08:39
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

chris1089 wrote:In a year's time, the difference in deaths will be roughly the same between countries with no, some and full lockdown.
@XeeleeFlower I think that's a good idea now I actually post regularly.


The question you are addressing is whether this pandemic actually influences deaths in the long .....
by Theodore
26 May 2020, 16:05
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

Capture.JPG
Capture.JPG (68.02 KiB) Viewed 262 times


This is the excess mortality in Sweden compared to Finland and Norway. This includes all deaths, so this has nothing to do with a definition of Covid-19-deaths. Source: https://www.euromomo.eu/graphs-and-maps/

EDIT: in .....
by Theodore
26 May 2020, 14:00
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

Also, I don't like to artificially differentiate between "the economy" and health care. Economic growth is heavily influenced by people believing in a (slightly) better future. If nothing is changing for the better, investments will not happen. You need people to go to work. If you just l .....

by Theodore
26 May 2020, 13:48
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

@princeofcarthage Plus, I don't know what you mean by "no evidence" that a lockdown saves lives in the long run. You will never know for sure, because a country cannot be simultaneously in lockdown and not in lockdown. So you only have (educated) estimates. But one thing is certain: the mo .....

by Theodore
26 May 2020, 09:52
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

evilcheadar wrote:The lockdown is completely dumb and arguably stupid

lol somebody got subtly nuanced opinions there?
It sure was effective in the countries that implemented it. and unless you think the people of the NIH (USA) or WHO or the SAGE-group (UK) or RKI (Germany) are all stupid and have less .....
by Theodore
20 May 2020, 09:01
Forum: General
Topic: Why do some players have awful pcs?
Replies: 58
Views: 1442
Flag: European Union

Re: Why do some players have awful pcs?

@aaryngend Your train of thoughts is too far up on the tech track.
Seriously, many people just don't care that much about their computers. Look up the sales figures, dektop PCs for consumers are a minority of the sold computers. A laptop is the standard computer to buy, soon it will be a tablet. Even .....

by Theodore
24 Apr 2020, 10:35
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: Ridiculous political ads
Replies: 108
Views: 654
Flag: European Union

Re: Ridiculous political ads

Internet is terrible for discussions indeed. I know why /s exists :D

btw I have never heard of that myth.
by Theodore
24 Apr 2020, 08:14
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: Ridiculous political ads
Replies: 108
Views: 654
Flag: European Union

Re: Ridiculous political ads

bittersalt123 wrote:
fightinfrenchman wrote:How does that image mean it was democratic?

You think the electoral college is undemocratic?

Why should a large city with a bunch of idiots get to decide for the rest of the country.


"Bunch of idiots" is key to your argument :D because usually the vot .....
by Theodore
24 Apr 2020, 08:13
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: Ridiculous political ads
Replies: 108
Views: 654
Flag: European Union

Re: Ridiculous political ads

Dolan wrote:@fightinfrenchman
B-but the USA is not a democracy, it's a republic!


A democracy can be a republic. Could also be a constitutional monarchy.
by Theodore
21 Apr 2020, 18:02
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

The 35k is the people who are infected and have been tested for the virus. The big question is, how many people are infected but do not appear in the statistics. Scientist are trying to find this out, but it's difficult. It requires taking a representative sample of the population and then testing n .....

by Theodore
21 Apr 2020, 17:37
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

Internet discussions are horrible :D
"World" is probably not the best reference point, maybe not even country. The most relevant point of reference is anything within a 400km radius and / or anything with direct travel connections. .....

by Theodore
21 Apr 2020, 15:35
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

princeofcarthage wrote:You don't understand do you. At some point 20% of humanity getting infected becomes irrelevant. It only matters if it happens in (un)reasonable amount of time.


No I really don't understand your comment. Why would 20% be of any relevance? As far as I know herd immunity for SARS- .....
by Theodore
21 Apr 2020, 12:38
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

Ok wait then? We'll talk next year :)
by Theodore
16 Apr 2020, 13:52
Forum: Real-life Discussion
Topic: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak
Replies: 3155
Views: 28777
Flag: European Union

Re: COVID-19 / Coronavirus Outbreak

It can't hurt to have a political leader who understands science and the implications of exponential growth...
.....

by Theodore
28 Jan 2020, 16:35
Forum: ESOC Talk
Topic: A poll on ESOC off topic controversial content
Replies: 234
Views: 3482
Flag: European Union

Re: A poll on ESOC off topic controversial content

You mean because you use the noun instead of the verb? Fabulous reasoning. Come on.
by Theodore
28 Jan 2020, 16:28
Forum: ESOC Talk
Topic: A poll on ESOC off topic controversial content
Replies: 234
Views: 3482
Flag: European Union

Re: A poll on ESOC off topic controversial content

RefluxSemantic wrote:To discriminate is simply an English word (stemming from the Latin discriminare) which means to distinguish. It's not constricted to distinguishing in a bad manner (ie discriminating based on age or on race in job interviews). It's your lack of knowledge of the English language .....
by Theodore
28 Jan 2020, 10:12
Forum: ESOC Talk
Topic: A follow-up poll on ESOC off topic controversial content
Replies: 93
Views: 1683
Flag: European Union

Re: A follow-up poll on ESOC off topic controversial content

princeofcarthage wrote:I can sue you based on your post for hate speech?

In Germany yes. You can file for an injunction and (depending on the wording) immaterial damages, that's your civil law option.
Also, you can inform the police / prosecutors and they will start an investigation which might end in .....
by Theodore
23 Oct 2019, 15:29
Forum: Strategy
Topic: [GoodSpeed's 3.0 TAD Guide] Japan
Replies: 76
Views: 6346
Flag: European Union

Re: [GoodSpeed's 3.0 TAD Guide] Japan

I love this discussion :D I don't play Japan but it seems to be a very flexible civ. Flexible enough to adapt to various match-ups and maps. To sum up: apparently there is no consensus on what cards to play first, not even on the correct age up wonder. If I look at the games that have been streamed on .....

by Theodore
21 May 2019, 07:45
Forum: Information and Discussion
Topic: NWC Tournament Disqualifications - Tit and kynesie
Replies: 568
Views: 26134
Flag: European Union

Re: NWC Tournament Disqualifications - Tit and kynesie

umeu wrote:As if it would be sincere, lol. "Esoc, im sorry i got caught!" We've seen multiple sir musket apologies already...

You apologize for something that you didnt do intentionally, or that you were later made to realize was wrong, while you didnt think it was before. They definitely d .....
by Theodore
21 May 2019, 07:43
Forum: Information and Discussion
Topic: NWC Tournament Disqualifications - Tit and kynesie
Replies: 568
Views: 26134
Flag: European Union

Re: NWC Tournament Disqualifications - Tit and kynesie

Dolan wrote:No, obviously, it's still tournament fraud what they both did.

But Kynesie had already qualified, he earned his spot. He just lost it because he participated in this scheme.

I'm just saying that if either of them want to improve their sitution, that requires an action on their part.



That i .....

Go to advanced search