Goodspeed wrote: ↑

04 May 2023, 17:00

The blankest, relative to other species

Yes, but to what extend is it truly blank? Could some of the problem solving abilities be more or less hardwired?

Are we really blank canvasses? Seems like lots of stuff is preprogrammed actually.

In the previous hypothetical, we assumed AGI, so an AI with the logical reasoning of our top minds. Which is very, very far away. I was initially impressed by chatGPT but slowly I am reaching the conclusion that for most practical purposes, it is absolutely useless. The problem is still the bullshit...

Unless aliens give us a visit, I really don't see how it will happen before 2070.

Humanity going extinct is so much less likely than we think. If 99% of humanity dies, there would still be 80 million people around. You know, by estimates approximately the same amount of humans as we had in 500 BC. Humanity wasn't going extinct back then, was it? Even if 99.9999% of humans would d...

Even dumb unlimited computing power would solve quite some difficulties. For example, in my work (integrated photonics) we would ideally do big FDTD simulations. This is a type of simulation that is essentially an exact solution to your problem (so its not just a model, you are really solving the ph...

From what I know from the development of children, human intelligence is at least partially hardwired. For example, the theory of mind is something that develops in children at a very consistent age. Same for a few other things, like abstract thinking which develops somewhere between 12 and 15 gener...

Out of curiosity I keep trying to use chatgpt for work. It is honestly completely useless and significantly worse than just googling.

We will be getting gpt4 at some point, but I personally am not yet convinced. I wouldnt pay significant money for it.

Goodspeed wrote: ↑

22 Apr 2023, 08:15

Ok so we won't keep adding more neurons, we'll find other ways to improve it though

Sure, we'll see how it will improve. But its stupid to just blindly extrapolate trends like that. They may find stuff or they may stagnate for a while, at this point thats not really clear.

I was testing chatGPT a bit more and Im slowly starting to be convinced that it is mostly rubbish. Its been helpful for one of the programming problems (though probably not significantly more helpful than just googling the bug), but otherwise its useless. As a search engine, I cannot trust its answe...

Not to say that this stuff isnt a gamechanger. It is extremely useful and much better at many things than humans are. Especially if it continues to develop, it will be a great tool. Hopefully this allows me to dedicate less time on programming, writing reports and doing more mundane tasks, and more ...

Not yet. Also what's the value of that, really? The thinking part is pretty crucial. It defines more or less the limits of the current tool. Actually, it is arguably something that current machine learning cannot do. The truly productive thoughts I have do not come from data analysis or pattern rec...

So how will AI truly change this? Our knowledge is mostly inaccurate, so the few extra inaccuracies that AI will add wont change the trend much. Smarter people will figure out that these AIs are not super reliable, and the dumb guys out there are already completely misinformed anyways. I think you ...

In terms of misinformation: I think most people's knowledge is filled with information. On almost any subject, we merely have some vague approximation of the truth. There are very few topics where I think I really know and understand the truth. Even professionally, my knowledge is mostly approximate...

Are you not also dependent on the current technology? I do not have the skills to survive out in the wild. I need my grocery store and my refridgerator. A power outage already puts society on hold as is.

You make many enormous leaps in logic without a solid basis here. Youre doing some extreme extrapolation here, not sure how correct any of this is. Its also pretty hard to even follow the logic. The premise of the entire thread is also strange, do you want to discuss the democracy vs authocracy or d...

Surely someone else in the world likes Fire Emblem too? I like it a lot. Grew up playing lots of Path of Radiance (I should still have my original copy somewhere, I believe these sell for like 300 dollars). Finished 3 houses last year and Im currently playing engage. The story is quite corny but Im...

Left parties in Western EU aren't pro Russia. We do have a Putin shill in NL but it's the right wing conspiracy guy who thinks Putin will save us from the lizards or something In NL, no. But Ive read that for example some left extremists in Germany are acting in a pro-Russia way. Although that migh...

You really have to also include standard deviation here. Data is useless if you dont do a proper statistical analysis. You'll be surprised by the number of games you need to estimate winrate within a 1% confidence intervall.

I dont have the drive to compete in games anymore. Its just too stressful and time consuming to be part of my current life.

Sucks that aoe4 released just a bit too late for me to have had the opportunity to enjoy it.

Nah, it's not that. Romanians can already freely move to another EU country and work there without any problem. The only difference Schengen makes is that they have to show an ID card or passport at the border crossing. That's all. So everyone who wanted to leave the country already did. And can st...

I believe the problem is not necessarily actual immigrants. The problem would be romanians coming to richer countries to 'steal' the jobs. They are willing to work for far less because the cost of living in their country is much lower, thus being essentially unfair competition. There is definitely a...

god you guys are boring? nothing on the midterms?? is esoc washed up? What's there to say... The Senate stayed about the same, I think, if Alaska is counted for Repubs, then it's 50/50 with Dem viceprez making the majority. And the house most likely goes to the Repubs. So I suppose all this enthusi...

What's happening in Twitter now? Our news are saying Musk is introducing the "excellent" expericences in China into Twitter, firing Indian and Jews , banning Democratic accounts, cancelling labor unions, and are forcing them to work 12+ hours a day? I know it's fake news, but I'm not sure...