Goodspeed wrote: ↑29 May 2022, 08:56
Dolan wrote: ↑29 May 2022, 08:51
Goodspeed wrote: ↑29 May 2022, 08:42
don't keep track of what you do or don't make fun of. You just seem to subscribe to the core neoliberal idea of small government and in particular minimal government intervention in the economy.
It's not like we're more than 15 regular posters here, by this time I think everyone has a basic idea on what regular posters gravitate to.
Yeah and I got the basic idea that you are one of the resident neoliberals on this forum. I know you don't like to be labeled but I think this one fits pretty well. The only neolib policy you don't support iirc is global free trade.
Might be misremembering though. Feel free to list neoliberal ideas you don't agree with.
I don't know why you associate me with neoliberalism. Sure, the meaning of the term has mutated so much that people project on it whatever bothers them about the current form of capitalism or the one from the 80s.
In terms of trade, if the current situation is anything to learn from, we see that free trade is less important than strategic reliability. If you allow your companies to create an enduring dependence on a country that later starts a war and massacres civilians, you might end up realising you made a big strategic mistake. So being a free trade dogmatic is not part of what I'd support in terms of economic policy. Neither would I support autarkic isolation, though in some strategic respects, it'd be a good policy not to be too reliant on trade partners that could wield too much influence on your foreign policy.
Neither do I support deregulation at any cost. Deregulation is like vitamins, having more deregulation doesn't make the economy healthier, making sure you don't make it too hard for enterprises to thrive due to regulations should be just a vital concern. But it's no silver bullet, no point in being dogmatic about this either. Does more deregulation tend to produce higher profits and more dynamic economic activity? Sure it does, just as it tends to produce more financial crashes.
Monetarism (money supply controls in the style of Friedman and the Chicago school) is a useful tool but I think people are expecting too much from controlling the quantity of money to get certain economic effects. Case in point, as Italy knows that the ECB is currently keeping basically negative interest rates in the Eurozone to shield Italy from a run on its bonds, there's less urgency for Italy to get its public finances in order. They just don't feel the burn.
State intervention in the economy is occasionally necessary, as we can see today with the global energy crisis, brought by the war in Ukraine. If anything, I'm starting to think we made a mistake when we liberalised our energy market because the EU asked us to do so. Who benefited from this? It was a privatisation done for the sake of checking those neoliberal dogma points: if you liberalise, the market will be more efficient and bring costs down. Basically energy prices never went down since then. And in the end, what really matters is the costs of energy production and how you're controlling those. Consumers are captive and don't have much choice on whether they need energy or not, just like housing. So companies already know there's no pressure on them to ever try to bring production costs down or adjust prices down if their costs decrease. I don't remember seeing any gasoline price cuts during the Covid crisis, when oil prices fell too.
I think we're going to have to relearn what an economy is and how it can be made to work. And that will include managing our economic dependencies for strategic purposes and coming to terms with the reality that a handful of economic goods and services (housing, energy) have a disproportionate impact on the entire economy, through chain reactions, and that this doesn't have to be that way. We don't need to get inflation priced in multiple times in the production and distribution chain, just because oil prices increased. Very often, this kind of price hikes happen due to psychological contagion, sellers in the market just hike prices because of perceptions rather than their own costs actually increasing. And it's a lot easier for prices to go up than to be rolled back. Speculative price increases are making things worse for everyone and that's because market participants only think about their own local maxima, rather than understanding the big picture, how their own price hikes will come to hit them back.