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Netherlands Goodspeed
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07 Nov 2017, 13:07

Hello,

Feel free to discuss anything related to betting here. Further betting updates will be posted in this thread, and all participants will be tagged in them. So if you're a better, keep an eye on your notifications in the top right.

My strategy: Betting on the underdogs, making some big wins here and there but eventually losing it all like I always do :sad:

Sign ups & rules: viewtopic.php?f=19&t=12628
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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Sweden Gendarme
Jaeger
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ESO: Gendarme

07 Nov 2017, 13:16

You snowball pretty easily, so it's about those early wins. This is why everyone needs to participate in the betting early on to not fall behind!

...hehehe...
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duck wrote:man it really sucks when you have to agree with gendarme on things
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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Posts: 6106

07 Nov 2017, 13:19

Well, people have certainly come back from nothing to win the event before. Especially in the later rounds people often throw a lot of points in the mix, and the wins tend to be huge.
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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New Zealand zoom
Gendarme
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Location: Ramadanistan

07 Nov 2017, 13:45

It's about early wins and donations, in my experience.

Have there been any changes to the rules?
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Germany japanesegeneral
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07 Nov 2017, 17:59

Has someone done an elo based empiric expected value yet? Might be fun to just bet based on data from past tournaments.

#iloveempiricstudies
6 petards a day keep the doctor away.
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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19 Nov 2017, 17:12

@QueenOfdestiny You can't bet on your own matches except on you winning and you winning 2-0. I undid your other bets
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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Christmas Island QueenOfdestiny
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ESO: QueenOfdestiny

19 Nov 2017, 18:51

Goodspeed wrote:@QueenOfdestiny You can't bet on your own matches except on you winning and you winning 2-0. I undid your other bets

i didnt know that :unsure:
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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19 Nov 2017, 21:25

queenofdestiny wrote:
Goodspeed wrote:@QueenOfdestiny You can't bet on your own matches except on you winning and you winning 2-0. I undid your other bets

i didnt know that :unsure:
Almost 2-0 though. Good try
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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Sweden Gendarme
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ESO: Gendarme

19 Nov 2017, 21:32

queenofdestiny wrote:
Goodspeed wrote:@QueenOfdestiny You can't bet on your own matches except on you winning and you winning 2-0. I undid your other bets

i didnt know that :unsure:
It is a standard rule in betting. If you were going to win 2-0 but you had bet on yourself 2-1 it would give you reasons to intentionally throw the second game to win money. This has been a problem in professional sports before (and perhaps still is) and is never allowed.
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duck wrote:man it really sucks when you have to agree with gendarme on things
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United States of America Cometk
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19 Nov 2017, 21:32

fuck this gay earth
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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19 Nov 2017, 21:42

japanesegeneral wrote:Has someone done an elo based empiric expected value yet? Might be fun to just bet based on data from past tournaments.

#iloveempiricstudies
I don't think there's enough data to do it based on past tournaments, but one could certainly do it based on elo. Problem would be that elo is often inaccurate because people are inactive or play mostly unrated games.
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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Gendarme
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19 Nov 2017, 21:45

Cometk wrote:fuck this gay earth
Please don't use that word. That word is hurtful.
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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19 Nov 2017, 21:51

The first results are in. QueenOfdestiny got pretty close to sweeping deadrising78, which would've been bad news for a lot of people and very good news for some (most notably @Kaiserklein). But deadrising ended up winning 2-1, which still wasn't the most expected result but certainly less exciting. @blackwidow takes home the biggest win, 2324 points, and is our first man to beat. The second result, bwinner1 2-0 purple_squid, was expected and therefore unimpactful, although betting legend @zoom did manage to throw away 1350 points there.

Standings

The finished matches have been replaced by two new ones. Both are scheduled to be played this Wednesday evening. Be sure to get your bets in on time!
Major_Dark vs Templar_
jesus3 vs Tedere12


GL!

Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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France Kaiserklein
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19 Nov 2017, 22:01

Just give queen control groups, and I win the betting event
My YouTube channel

LoOk_tOm: I have something in particular against Kaisar (GERMANY NOOB mercenary LAMME FOREVER) And the other people (noobs) like suck kaiser ... just this ..

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Poland pecelot
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Location: Warsaw, Poland

19 Nov 2017, 22:33

I would like to donate 499 points to the Comet, k?
Jeder Klaps — ein Japs :chinese:
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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19 Nov 2017, 23:32

Done. @Cometk
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
Great Britain Hazza54321
Jaeger
Posts: 4506

20 Nov 2017, 01:54

can you remove my tag, im not in it :p
Diarouga: How exactly am I arrogant
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United States of America Cometk
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ESO: NxWorries

20 Nov 2017, 02:31

pecelot wrote:I would like to donate 499 points to the Comet, k?
y̵̧͎̱͐͛̓̄̈́o̸̥͉̩̦̊̅̑͝͝ų̵̩͗r̸̦̈́̀̽ ̴̜̭̮̲̤̈́͒̀̊͐f̶̛̖̪̳̫͕͐̈̔͝o̵̭̖̪̅́ḷ̸̨̧̍̋̈́̽͜͝l̶̝̪̈́̆͋͝y̸͔̝͙͒ ̴̡̫̦̍͘w̶̞̤̼̉̈̎̚͝į̶̮̦̺͍͂́͋͒̕l̵̟̹̠̆l̵͕̈́͒ ̴͖̀̿͒͆̍b̷̮̩̻̟̋̄̓ę̵̝̺̲͔̈́ ̵͙̞̤̣͂͒̓̀͝y̷͈̰̻͘o̴̡̮̦̟͋̾̚u̴̘͑̓̈́r̵͇̩̲̕ ̶͖̟̪̅̉͜ṳ̷̱͚͈͙̈́̋̍̕n̴̠̙͈̰̣̐̇̓d̵̨͔̈̒͋ơ̶͕͕̜̼̿̊̂ͅị̸̰͑n̸̟̍̽͜g̵̺̀̓̏̍͐
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United States of America musketeer925
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20 Nov 2017, 16:00

Might be of interest to betters:

viewtopic.php?f=28&t=3884&p=269939#p269939

Also, @Goodspeed do you mind if I move this thread (as well as the signups) to the discussion section for the tournament?
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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20 Nov 2017, 16:06

That's fine with me. The sign ups I always post in general for visibility, but that's not important anymore now.
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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Germany japanesegeneral
Dragoon
Posts: 463
ESO: JapaneseGeneral
Location: Germany

20 Nov 2017, 22:04

@tedere12 please team up with me in the betting event let Jesus win the series 2-0.
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odds op.PNG (21.76 KiB) Viewed 684 times
6 petards a day keep the doctor away.
Greece tedere12
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20 Nov 2017, 22:07

lol
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Netherlands Goodspeed
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Posts: 6106

22 Nov 2017, 20:44

@blackwidow's reign was as short-lived as they come. He was stomped from his throne by none other than @aqwer, who is no stranger to winning points this event. It took him only 4 matches to break 10000, which is record-breaking speed. Well done!
He's still in first, but did drop some points and currently sits at 9404. Lurking in his shadow is @musketeer925, on 8160 points, and looking at this kid's bets he's only got one direction to go: up. With 5 matches played, the first consistency scores are showing on the standings sheet (column F) and musketeer925 is the only one boasting that sought-after flawless record. Clearly, this is a man we need to keep an eye on.

We have a bunch of matches still to go this round. Good thing we had 2 weeks for this one. Bets have been opened for another 3 matches. It looks like all will be played in the weekend.
_NT_sven vs ottolol
JorisIV vs GiBthedurrty
KingRichardIIII vs Hidalgito


May the betting Gods favour ye!

Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
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United States of America musketeer925
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22 Nov 2017, 21:30

It may be my first time, but I'm no stranger to statistics. Watch out, @aqwer.
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Sweden Gendarme
Jaeger
Donator 02
Posts: 4222
ESO: Gendarme

22 Nov 2017, 22:29

> be me
> be unlucky first rounds
> lose all points but 147
> end up winning betting event nonetheless
> mfw
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duck wrote:man it really sucks when you have to agree with gendarme on things

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