User avatar
Netherlands Goodspeed
Retired Contributor
Posts: 6114

09 Sep 2018, 09:53

It's time, my stardusty friends. Time for zoom to win another betting event. Time to show everyone else that you are the most active participant in the AoE3 high level community, or its most religious viewer, and know exactly who is in shape and who isn't. As always, it's all about guessing the right results, but it helps if you pay attention to the odds.

A number of betters, most notably @iwillspankyou, came close to the prize last time around, but it was @zoom who ran away with it in the end. Again. He pulled off his classic trick of losing all of his points about 5 times and then coming back to win it with some solid betting in the last couple of rounds, and a good amount of luck of course. But to what extent can we realistically blame his luck, when it's the 4th time he's won? That's more than half of the betting events, and he was never short of competition. What is his secret? Perhaps a combination of his frequent stream-watching, subsequent solid understanding of players' strengths and weaknesses, and a knack for betting the odds? Assuming the master of betting will be back to defend his title, whoever signs up here will have their work cut out for them.

For those who participated before, it'll be the same as always with one additional rule: You are only allowed to donate if you have above the average amount of points. This rule prevents people from signing up, not participating and donating all of their points to someone else.
Everyone who is new to it, make sure you read the rest of this post. Don't hesitate to ask any questions in this thread or via PM, and I welcome any feedback. If you think I should do something differently please do mention it, even small things. Also, if something seems out of the ordinary or doesn't seem to be working like it should, shoot me a PM.

Betting starts after the group stages, beginning with the round of 32 of this event. This should be somewhere around the 24th of September.
Happy gambling and may fortune be with you!
______________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________

Prize
There is a $100 prize up for grabs reserved from the tournament prize pool. Winner takes all! The winner is the player with the most betting points after the finals of the tournament.
Participation is free.

How to sign up
Simply leave a reply in this thread, or send me a message. You will receive a PM with further info. If you're reading this after the tournament started, you can still sign up.

How the system works
After you sign up, you'll receive a message from me with a link to your own personal betting sheet (example) where you can enter your bets and a link to the stats sheet which contains the standings as well as everyone else's bets. The system is hosted in the cloud (Google docs) and updates automatically as you place your bets. Where to enter your bets: http://i.imgur.com/84cIjd2.png but on your own personal sheet of course.

Betting updates will be posted in a discussion thread which I will post later, with all betters tagged in it. So make sure you keep an eye on your notifications during the event! Alternatively you can keep an eye on your betting sheet, which will always show all of the open betting matches and when they are scheduled to be played.

You start with 1500 points.
Which matches to bet on will be decided by me. There will be at least 5 matches to bet on in every round up to the round of 16, and after that you will be able to bet on every match. I will send a message to all participants if there is a new match to bet on. This information can be found in your player sheet too, of course.
Note that if a match is played early in the round and there is still some time, I may select another match in that same round to bet on so keep an eye out for that.

The system rewards participation, as there is a bit of inflation each match which only benefits people who participate (and win). Typically the point total at the end of the event will be around 150% of the point total at the start of the event.

How the odds work
If the odds against player A winning are 5.00 (also read as 5 to 1) that means you get 5 times the amount of points you bet in payout if player A wins. So if you had bet 1000 on player A winning, you would get 5000 points in payout which is a 4000 point profit.
The odds update real time based on your and other players' bets. The odds are frozen right before the match starts and payouts will be based on those final odds, not based on the odds at the time you placed your bet.

If many people bet on a result, you will get less points in payout if it happens. This means you are not betting against a bookmaker, you are betting against the other betters and if a lot of them think player A will win but you think player B is underrated, it could be a worthwhile strategy to bet a bunch of points on player B.
In short, if you bet on a result which the community thinks is unlikely and it happens, you are rich! If you bet on a likely result and it happens, you also win but you are less rich. The more risk you take the higher your potential reward, but of course many well-placed safe bets can also add up to big profit. Develop your own betting strategy accordingly.

Rules
1. There is a maximum of 1000 points per specific result (like Player A winning 3-0) and 10000 on the results "Player X winning". The system will complain if you try to put more points on results than allowed.
2. At the bottom of your player sheet is your balance (points available to bet with). If this number reaches less than zero as a result of you placing bets, none of your bets will be counted so make sure it stays above or equal to zero.
3. You can't bet on your own matches except on you winning and/or you winning x-0.
4. You are allowed to donate points to other players, but only if they have zero points left AND if you have more points than the average amount per player (1500 to start). "Malicious donations" (under 50 points) are not allowed.
Whether or not it is clear to you, no doubt the universe is unfolding as it should.
XeeleeFlower wrote:I don't mind open endings as long as the story continues at some point
User avatar
United States of America Cometk
ESOC Media Team
Posts: 1771
ESO: NxWorries

09 Sep 2018, 09:58

in
Image
User avatar
Armenia Sargsyan
Howdah
Posts: 1044
ESO: Sargsyan
Location: Armenia
GameRanger ID: 2106182

09 Sep 2018, 10:17

Yeah
Image
Austria Jerimuno
Dragoon
Posts: 224
ESO: Jerimuno

09 Sep 2018, 10:49

in
User avatar
France bwinner1
Lancer
Posts: 576
ESO: bwinner

09 Sep 2018, 10:51

Sign me up :)
Image
User avatar
Czech Republic EAGLEMUT
ESOC Dev Team
Donator 04
Posts: 2606
ESO: EAGLEMUT
Location: [WPact]

09 Sep 2018, 11:15

hardcoar
Image
momuuu wrote:theres no way eaglemut is truly a top player
User avatar
Canada Warno
Skirmisher
Donator 06
Posts: 193
ESO: Warno

09 Sep 2018, 11:27

In. Thanks GS
User avatar
Netherlands edeholland
ESOC Community Team
Donator 01
Posts: 2894
ESO: edeholland
Location: Not ede
GameRanger ID: 4053888

09 Sep 2018, 11:45

In again. Thanks for doing this. Would like to request a personal betting sheet that can't be shared by link, so that I can show it on stream. Will PM you the email-address.
Whiteboards are remarkable
Not living in Ede
--- h2o Rip ---
In the beginning ESOC was created. This has made a lot of people very angry and been widely regarded as a bad move.
User avatar
France Lecastete
Skirmisher
Posts: 141
ESO: Lecastete
Location: France

09 Sep 2018, 12:09

In ! Ty gs :)
" Your wife looks like my feet" - Sirmusket 2018
User avatar
No Flag thebritish
Jaeger
Posts: 3782

09 Sep 2018, 12:20

I want to participate.
krichk wrote: For some reason, you want the world to know that you're brave enough to challenge thebritish
User avatar
Germany aligator92
Lancer
Posts: 614
ESO: aligator92

09 Sep 2018, 12:31

thanks for doing this again :)
I am in
Great Britain boyu
Crossbow
Posts: 1
ESO: boyu
Location: Edinburgh, UK

09 Sep 2018, 12:41

Sounds sick... I'm in
Netherlands blackwidow
Dragoon
Posts: 310
ESO: MASTERdutch

09 Sep 2018, 12:42

l;kahsdljgkfuhadslkjghaklsjdghlkjasdhgpkjasdhg
User avatar
Finland somppukunkku
Howdah
Donator 02
Posts: 1744

09 Sep 2018, 12:44

Goodspeed wrote:Develop your own betting strategy accordingly.


All in for somppu every round? That's a winning strategy.
Ez4somppu?
Ez4somppu.

In.
Image
Image
Image
Image
When I win, it's with homo, illegal and wrong strats.
User avatar
Armenia Sargsyan
Howdah
Posts: 1044
ESO: Sargsyan
Location: Armenia
GameRanger ID: 2106182

09 Sep 2018, 12:46

somppukunkku wrote:
Goodspeed wrote:Develop your own betting strategy accordingly.


All in for somppu every round? That's a winning strategy.
Ez4somppu?
Ez4somppu.

In.

This is slowly turning into a meme
Image
User avatar
France Aykin Haraka
Lancer
EWT
Posts: 505
ESO: Aykin

09 Sep 2018, 13:01

ez for sompi
User avatar
Norway iwillspankyou
Jaeger
iwillspankyou
Posts: 3371

09 Sep 2018, 13:20

sign me up please ;)
Hippocrits are the worst of animals. I love elifants.
Cyprus Snuden
Jaeger
Posts: 2166
ESO: Snuden
Location: ESOC Crypto Corner!

09 Sep 2018, 13:26

I'm in.
36: This herd, was not herded correctly towards his town center
User avatar
India gh0st
Lancer
Posts: 685
ESO: gh0st007
Location: India

09 Sep 2018, 13:26

sign me up, & tanks for doing this!
India dishonored
Crossbow
Posts: 23
ESO: _Dishonored_
Location: India

09 Sep 2018, 13:55

IN
User avatar
Tuvalu gibson
Gendarme
Posts: 7732
Location: USA

09 Sep 2018, 13:56

ezin
User avatar
Italy Garja
ESOC Maps Team
Donator 02
Posts: 5984
ESO: Garja

09 Sep 2018, 13:57

1
User avatar
France Kaiserklein
Gendarme
EWT - Playoff
Posts: 5464
Location: Paris
GameRanger ID: 5529322

09 Sep 2018, 14:08

I'm in
My YouTube channel

LoOk_tOm: I have something in particular against Kaisar (GERMANY NOOB mercenary LAMME FOREVER) And the other people (noobs) like suck kaiser ... just this ..

Image
Austria knusch
Dragoon
Donator 01
Posts: 227

09 Sep 2018, 16:21

sign me up, sir!
User avatar
United States of America dicktator_
Lancer
EWT
Posts: 867

09 Sep 2018, 16:31

In
steniothejonjoe wrote:I can micro better than 99% of the player base and that's 100% objective

Forum Info

Return to “Information and Discussion”



Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest